Methodology

How a call is made

From six raw forecast models to one clear, honest answer.

Step 1

Blend the best weather sources

We pull HRRR, ECMWF, GFS, ICON, GEM and the NWS forecast for the exact launch — plus the nearby airport’s aviation TAF for the next day or so. The best model for the range leads the headline; the agreement between them all sets the confidence, so you get one straight answer instead of checking six sites yourself.

Step 2

Check the wind window

Each site has an ideal and a marginal wind-direction arc. Wind outside the window means cross, tail or rotor — and caps the call no matter how light it is.

Step 3

Score speed, gusts and thermals

We score base wind against the site’s sweet spot, penalise gust spread and over-the-ceiling gusts, and read thermal strength and cloudbase from CAPE and the temp/dewpoint spread.

Step 4

Look aloft and add daylight

Ridge-height (80 m) wind catches a windy day a calm surface hides, and the call is gated to actual daylight. The result is a verdict, a 0–100 score and a suggested pilot rating.

It’s an automated estimate from public forecast models, not a go/no-go decision. Always check the sky and fly within your rating.